BIG NEWS! There's yet another "final" health care bill, this one with the public option. Since the purpose of all this is to end private health care insurance and drive the US to a European style single-payer system, the details aren't really important: the real question is, do we want or need the end result? Once the "comprehensive reform" process gets started, it will be hard to stop.
It's simply not true that if you are satisfied with what you have, you won't have to change it. Any "comprehensive reform" will at least have the provision that health insurance cannot refuse applications for pre-existing conditions, nor can it charge more to those who are already sick than it does to those who buy the policy when well; plus, mandatory coverage of all kinds of conditions and treatments depending on the effectiveness of lobbyists in getting their clients' services (mental health, maternity, various forms of counseling, osteopathy and chiropractic, homeopathic medicine, etc., etc.) included, meaning that those who can't or don't use those services still must pay the same premiums as those who do. Those conditions alone will force premium costs up. Adding more people to the rolls whether they can pay or not will also force premiums up -- or will require subsidies, meaning either higher taxes or more operational expenses, to be paid for with more borrowed money and thus increased debt.
The counter argument is that we'll save all those costs and keep the premiums down by eliminating fraud and waste. The rest will be covered by soaking the rich, and that won't affect the middle class. (
You can believe as much of that as you want to.) Oh -- and there will be taxes on "medical devices" such as walkers, wheel chairs, tampons, condoms, crutches, Ace bandages, diabetes meters, blood pressure meters, thermometers, splints, braces, joint restricting boots, MRI and X-ray machines, and other such devices, thus raising their prices without increasing profits. What that will do to investment in research to improve such devices isn't known, but I think it's predictable. Generally such taxes tend to restrict entry into an industry, thus consolidating it with fewer firms and less competition.
When all this is finished (according to the leadership "elite"), we will be getting health care at least as good as we have now, without significantly increasing costs or taxes, and lowering the percentage of GDP that goes into health care.
You may believe as much of that prediction as you want to, too.We are also told that the recession is over, because government has spent enough money to have the GDP go slightly up. Given that unemployment is still rising, you can believe as much of that as you want to as well.
We are moving toward the European style of modern state. It is definitely "change you can believe in." It is not too late to stop this trend, but the hour is late. Of course nearly everyone who might read this already knows it altready.
HT to
Jerry Pournelle.